Prediction accountability engine

Predictions are everywhere. Accountability is not.

KAOS filters high-value claims, scores past forecasts, and tracks live predictions before they harden into belief.

Join the waitlistSee a verdict
Live prediction stability score
“By 2030, most knowledge workers will be replaced by autonomous AI agents.”
82fragile
Past accuracy: unknownFalsifiability: weakHype risk: highDeadline: 2030
Clarity
48
Verifiability
31
Signal quality
57
Crash-test notes
דMost knowledge workers” is too broad.
×Adoption is not replacement.
×Regulation and trust may slow deployment.
Would you bet on it?
Scan the noise. Score the claims. Track the forecasters. Test the future.

Three layers. One accountability loop.

Curated signals. Resolved claims. Live tracking.

01 — KAOS SIGNAL

Curated intelligence.

We scan the information flood and select the claims that matter. Fewer links. Better sources. Sharper context.

Output: qualified prediction feed
02 — KAOS RESOLVED

Past claims scored.

We test old forecasts against reality. Who was early? Who was lucky? Who was confidently wrong?

Output: forecaster credibility base
03 — KAOS LIVE

New claims tracked.

We monitor current predictions and link them to source history, incentives and prior accuracy.

Output: live prediction accountability

Past claim. Clear verdict.

KAOS Resolved turns old predictions into evidence.

KAOS Resolved
Geoffrey Kendrick
Standard Chartered
“Bitcoin could hit $150,000 by the end of 2024.”
2024-06-06
Source: Bitcoin Magazine

From quote to accountability.

A claim is captured, dated, sourced, scored and resolved. The result becomes part of the forecaster credibility base.

✓ Source identified
✓ Deadline extracted
✓ Outcome checked
✓ Verdict stored

Know which claims deserve attention before everyone repeats them.

What KAOS scores.

Not just what was said. How testable it is. Who said it. What happened next.

Clarity
Deadline
Measurability
Falsifiability
Source quality
Past accuracy
Incentive bias
Hype density

Built for people who want to ask the right questions.

Investors, founders, strategists, analysts, journalists, consultants, prediction-market users and skeptical readers.

Prediction marketsVentureStrategyForesightMediaConsultingClimateAIFuture of sport

Get the first KAOS crash-tests.

Early access to curated signals, resolved prediction breakdowns and live scoring experiments.

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